Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.233103 0.268835 0.309368 0.358986 0.418404 0.487667 0.575090
2025-10-05 0.180432 0.227419 0.286778 0.368334 0.479156 0.626974 0.843316
2025-10-12 0.150114 0.201313 0.271127 0.375522 0.531653 0.763214 1.146001
2025-10-19 0.129844 0.182696 0.259209 0.381676 0.579912 0.901671 1.493854
2025-10-26 0.116344 0.170477 0.252956 0.393028 0.636320 1.065173 1.938793
2025-11-02 0.104241 0.157996 0.243499 0.396264 0.678452 1.213954 2.411893
2025-11-09 0.093969 0.146657 0.233661 0.396248 0.713703 1.358450 2.934464
2025-11-16 0.084982 0.136062 0.223238 0.392796 0.740909 1.493653 3.495035
2025-11-23 0.077007 0.126093 0.212343 0.386221 0.759855 1.615992 4.081242
2025-11-30 0.072521 0.121598 0.210546 0.396901 0.817764 1.846240 5.089711
2025-12-07 0.066434 0.113486 0.200879 0.389697 0.833640 1.977610 5.873725
2025-12-14 0.062220 0.108341 0.196193 0.392189 0.872998 2.184465 7.045069
2025-12-21 0.057953 0.102732 0.190079 0.390967 0.904307 2.384536 8.356172
2025-12-28 0.055347 0.100064 0.189611 0.402684 0.972914 2.725964 10.546426
2026-01-04 0.052668 0.096952 0.187798 0.410902 1.034523 3.073195 13.118720
2026-01-11 0.050133 0.093853 0.185604 0.417791 1.094531 3.444030 16.243660
2026-01-18 0.048251 0.091900 0.185664 0.430446 1.175958 3.936339 20.738804
2026-01-25 0.045888 0.088693 0.182497 0.434055 1.230212 4.351979 25.394290
2026-02-01 0.043499 0.085199 0.178258 0.434036 1.272889 4.744468 30.580027
2026-02-08 0.041085 0.081435 0.172959 0.430189 1.301703 5.093746 36.114727
2026-02-15 0.038681 0.077484 0.166790 0.422861 1.316423 5.387714 41.809162
2026-02-22 0.037524 0.076238 0.167097 0.434765 1.407208 6.130606 54.169355
2026-03-01 0.035419 0.072644 0.161159 0.426735 1.418461 6.453888 62.592937